Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000113 0.000124 0.000136 0.000150 0.000166 0.000182 0.000202
2026-01-18 0.000091 0.000108 0.000127 0.000151 0.000180 0.000214 0.000256
2026-01-25 0.000076 0.000095 0.000118 0.000148 0.000187 0.000236 0.000302
2026-02-01 0.000067 0.000087 0.000113 0.000148 0.000196 0.000260 0.000351
2026-02-08 0.000059 0.000079 0.000107 0.000146 0.000201 0.000277 0.000392
2026-02-15 0.000052 0.000073 0.000101 0.000142 0.000204 0.000291 0.000429
2026-02-22 0.000048 0.000069 0.000099 0.000144 0.000212 0.000315 0.000482
2026-03-01 0.000045 0.000067 0.000097 0.000146 0.000223 0.000342 0.000544
2026-03-08 0.000041 0.000062 0.000093 0.000143 0.000224 0.000353 0.000581
2026-03-15 0.000037 0.000057 0.000087 0.000138 0.000222 0.000360 0.000610
2026-03-22 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000139 0.000230 0.000383 0.000671
2026-03-29 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000141 0.000238 0.000408 0.000736
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000050 0.000082 0.000139 0.000241 0.000423 0.000789
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000139 0.000248 0.000449 0.000864
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000046 0.000077 0.000137 0.000250 0.000465 0.000922
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000044 0.000076 0.000137 0.000256 0.000488 0.000999
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000042 0.000073 0.000135 0.000258 0.000503 0.001058
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000132 0.000257 0.000513 0.001111
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000038 0.000069 0.000133 0.000265 0.000543 0.001210
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000135 0.000276 0.000579 0.001330
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000132 0.000275 0.000588 0.001385
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000033 0.000063 0.000127 0.000270 0.000590 0.001424
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000032 0.000063 0.000129 0.000278 0.000622 0.001541